TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:13 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the final quarter of a college football game between Baylor and Arizona State. It tracks the performance of each team specifically in the last 15 minutes of regulation time, excluding any overtime periods. The outcome depends solely on who leads the scoring chart in that quarter.
If Arizona St. wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Baylor vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Baylor vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Baylor vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, but this market allows for continuous recalibration as more information becomes available and more people trade. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting action, the dynamic nature of Kalshi allows for a more rapid and comprehensive response to new information and changing perceptions about the likely outcome of the Baylor vs Arizona State game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either Baylor or Arizona State winning the 4th quarter. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the order flow and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the odds reflect the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the 4th quarter of the Baylor vs Arizona State game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and verification of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Baylor or Arizona State would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Game-day developments, such as early performance or tactical adjustments, could also trigger rapid price movements. Unexpected weather conditions, if they impact the game, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in market sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market for the Baylor vs Arizona State game.