TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 12:22 AM EST
Kalshi
The first half of a college football game between Baylor and Arizona State will determine the winner based on points scored before halftime. The outcome will depend on which team's offense performs better in the initial 30 minutes of play.
If Arizona St. wins the 1st half of the Baylor vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor wins the 1st half of the Baylor vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Baylor vs Arizona St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team leads at the end of the first half of the Baylor vs Arizona State game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning team for the purposes of this market. Any potential overtime periods do not factor into the first-half result and therefore won’t affect the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries to key players on either the Baylor or Arizona State teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also move the market. Finally, any significant betting patterns observed in sportsbooks could influence traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions.