TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Baylor Bears vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (W)
Volume:
$111,346
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Baylor Bears and Texas Tech Red Raiders scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical impossibility: both Baylor win and Texas Tech win are mapped to the same resolution outcome (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to differentiate between the two mutually exclusive game outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market structure is logically broken. Polymarket is the only viable venue for this event with proper binary resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all resolution with clear differentiation. Baylor win resolves to Baylor Bears, Texas Tech win resolves to Texas Tech Red Raiders. Postponement keeps market open until completion. Cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'If the Baylor Bears win, the market will resolve to Baylor Bears. If the Texas Tech Red Raiders win, the market will resolve to Texas Tech Red Raiders.'
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory resolution structure. Both possible outcomes (Baylor win and Texas Tech win) are mapped to Yes resolution, creating an impossible scenario where the market cannot settle based on actual game result. Key quote: 'If Baylor wins...then resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech wins...then resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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