This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Baylor Bears and TCU Horned Frogs scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the winner of this game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory: both Baylor win and TCU win are stated to resolve to Yes, eliminating the binary nature of the market and making it fundamentally unresolvable as a competitive outcome bet.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the market terms are corrected. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket is the only platform with coherent winner-based resolution logic.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Baylor victory resolves to 'Baylor Bears', TCU victory resolves to 'TCU Horned Frogs'. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Resolution includes overtime.
Kalshi: Both possible game outcomes (TCU win OR Baylor win) are stated to resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No No resolution path is defined, making the market unable to differentiate between outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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