TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
Bayern Munich plays Magdeburg in a high-stakes DFB Pokal clash. The match's resolution depends on the margin of Bayern Munich's win or Magdeburg's upset victory, each with specified goal differences.
The market resolves based on the goal difference in the Bayern Munich vs Magdeburg DFB Pokal game scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Bayern Munich wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Bayern Munich wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. If Magdeburg wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes. If Magdeburg wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All outcomes are determined solely by regular time scoring; extra time and penalties do not count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move closer to the prediction market price as they react to public betting patterns, and vice versa. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Bayern Munich vs Magdeburg match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective probability assigned to each possible result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The current price represents the market's expectation of the spread, and changes in price indicate shifts in sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Bayern Munich vs Magdeburg match, as determined by official match results. The platform will verify the outcome against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Bayern Munich or Magdeburg would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or coaching decisions could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in market perception, potentially causing the price to move rapidly.