TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 3:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns the Bayern Munich versus Arsenal Champions League fixture on October 21, 2026, and will confirm if both clubs score at least one goal within the 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, with extra time and penalty goals not being counted.
If Bayern Munich and Arsenal both score a goal in the Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Champions League match originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of people believe both teams will score, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering different value than what’s available at a sportsbook. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when there's strong public sentiment or inside information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score'. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the platform, creating a dynamic and real-time estimate of the likelihood of both Bayern Munich and Arsenal finding the back of the net. The platform facilitates this price discovery process through a transparent and competitive trading environment.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Bayern Munich and Arsenal score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The final result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether the 'Both Teams To Score' outcome occurred as defined by the event's rules.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bayern Munich or Arsenal would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, major events in other relevant soccer leagues or tournaments might indirectly affect perceptions of team strength and influence trading activity in this market.