TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bayern Munich vs Arsenal
kalshi

What is the result of Bayern Munich vs Arsenal?

Volume:
$15,316,417

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 21, 4:53 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,769,204
N/A
N/A
$943,767
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,159,892
N/A
N/A
$4,266,651
Settled
No
kalshi

Arsenal

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,387,322
N/A
N/A
$3,606,441
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Bayern Munich will win their Champions League soccer match against Arsenal. Currently, Kalshi gives Bayern Munich a 72.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 23.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the Bayern Munich vs Arsenal professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time – excluding any extra time or penalties. Keep a close watch on the match itself on October 21, 2026, as the final whistle will determine the outcome and resolve this market.

Kalshi

The event involves three possible outcomes for the Bayern Munich vs Arsenal professional Champions League soccer match originally scheduled for October 21, 2026: a win for Bayern Munich, a win for Arsenal, or a tie, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and not including extra time or penalties. Each corresponding market will resolve to 'Yes' if that specific outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Bayern Munich vs Arsenal match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the likelihood of different outcomes, along with a record of past price movements. The 24-hour volume, currently at $12,219,465, indicates how much trading activity has occurred recently. Total volume for this market is $15,316,417, reflecting overall interest. This data allows you to assess market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to this specific contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injury reports – the odds in this market may adjust more rapidly than those at sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate a broader range of factors influencing the outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their beliefs. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential results of the Bayern Munich vs Arsenal match, driven entirely by user activity.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bayern Munich vs Arsenal match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a Bayern Munich win, an Arsenal win, or a draw – actually occurred. All outstanding contracts will be settled based on this verified result, and traders will receive payouts according to their positions.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Bayern Munich or Arsenal would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all influence trading activity. Any significant pre-match analysis from respected football journalists or analysts could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information is being incorporated into the market price.