TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille
predict
limitless
polymarket

What is the result of Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille?

Total volume:
$670
Volume 24h:
$47
31%
Liquidity:
$66,946
114%
Open interest:
$667N/A

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Predict

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 02d:23h:20m

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?

69%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 70¢ buys you 143 shares | Odds: 69% Total Payout: $143 | Net Profit: $43 Multiplier: 1.43x | ROI: 43% APY not meaningful 2 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Trade
69%
Yes 70¢No 32¢
2¢
$10,749
$286
14%
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 20m
Active
predict

LEV

Trade
69%
Yes 70¢No 32¢
2¢
$8,717
$1
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 20m
Active
limitless

Bayer Leverkusen

Trade
N/A
N/A
5.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 20m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
69%
Yes 70¢No 32¢
Avg: 3.3¢Max: 5.9¢
polymarket

Draw (Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille)

Trade
18%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
$17,625
$2
0%
N/A
N/A
2d 23h 20m
Active
predict

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
$4,274
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 20m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 20m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
17.5%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
Avg: 2.7¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

Olympique de Marseille

Trade
14%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
1¢
$21,324
$381
3%
5,092%
N/A
2d 23h 20m
Active
predict

OLM

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
$4,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 1h 20m
Active
limitless

Marseille

Trade
N/A
N/A
4.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 23h 20m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
13.5%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
Avg: 2.4¢Max: 4.1¢
Total markets: 9

Description

This group covers the outcome of a UEFA Europa League match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique de Marseille on November 5, 2026. Markets ask whether Leverkusen, Marseille, or a draw will occur, focusing on the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match statistics and a defined fallback hierarchy for data sourcing.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.
  • A defined data source hierarchy is used: Official stats -> Flashscore -> Sofascore -> Credible Reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Official Data: If no official final result is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Postponement: Markets will remain open until the game is completed if postponed.
  • Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve 'No' and draw markets resolve 'Yes'.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if official data is delayed, utilizing the defined fallback sources.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique de Marseille.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Olympique de Marseille.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 5, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Leverkusen vs. Marseille match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Predict. It displays a consensus view of probabilities, currently showing a combined volume of $670 across all tracked platforms. This allows users to see where the 'wisdom of the crowd' stands on the outcome of the match. The dashboard also provides insights into 24-hour volume, which is currently $47, and highlights any discrepancies in pricing between Polymarket and Predict.

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and a desire to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individual bettors. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there's a significant amount of volume, as information is quickly incorporated into the prices. However, sportsbooks may offer different markets, such as prop bets, not available in this market. The current volume on this market is $670.

Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for a number of reasons. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the liquidity, or volume, on each platform can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05? at 69.0%, while Predict leans toward Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05? at 69.0%. These differences in user opinions and trading activity contribute to the observed price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Leverkusen vs. Marseille match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders should monitor official announcements and reputable sports news outlets for confirmation of the final outcome and subsequent market settlement.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Olympique de Marseille would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also influence trader sentiment. Major tactical announcements from either manager, or even significant weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, could also move the market. Unexpected events during the match itself, such as early red cards, will also be reflected in the price.