TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FC Nürnberg - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Volume:
$337,569
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This prediction group covers various markets related to the DFB-Pokal match between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FC Nürnberg, including spread betting, over/under goals, and which team will advance. Markets range from the overall match outcome to specific first-half scenarios and individual team scoring.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's Over/Under markets are tied to a specific date (Oct 28, 2026), while Polymarket markets are flexible to rescheduling, potentially leading to resolution discrepancies.Hero tip: Prioritize markets with flexible resolution dates and rely on official sources like dfb.de for accurate settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using dfb.de as the primary source, with Flashscore and Sofascore as backups. Allows for game rescheduling.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but explicitly references the originally scheduled date (Oct 28, 2026). May not adjust for rescheduling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for October 28 at 3:45 PM ET.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Leverkusen vs Nuremberg DFB Pokal match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time—increasing the total beyond the respective threshold—is required. Importantly, goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count toward any market resolution. All markets share the same underlying condition: the total goals must be assessed solely from the standard match duration. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Leverkusen vs. Nürnberg match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $337,569, with $336,774 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Spread: 1. FC Nürnberg (-1.5) at 99%, while Kalshi leans toward Will over 2.5 goals be scored? at an unspecified percentage. This allows traders to see how predictions are evolving and compare probabilities across different venues, providing a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets aggregate individual forecasts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. However, both prediction markets and sportsbooks aim to accurately represent the probability of an event occurring, and both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.