TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 3:32 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming PLK game, scheduled for October 9 at 12:00PM ET: If the Basket Zielona Gora win, the market will resolve to "Basket Zielona Gora". If the Legia Warszawa win, the market will resolve to "Legia Warszawa". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming PLK game, scheduled for October 9 at 12:00PM ET: If the Basket Zielona Gora win, the market will resolve to "Basket Zielona Gora". If the Legia Warszawa win, the market will resolve to "Legia Warszawa". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially surpassing or diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities as the event approaches, especially when informed traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform, providing a forward-looking assessment of the game’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Basket Zielona Gora versus Legia Warszawa game, as reported by official sports sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result of the Polish basketball game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even weather conditions if the game is outdoors, might also play a role. Public sentiment, as reflected by expert analysis or media coverage, can also impact trading activity. Major announcements about team strategies or player contracts could also move the market, as traders react to the new information and adjust their predictions.