TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 1:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in Spain's top league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine how the outcome is finalized.
The event determines the winner of a men's professional basketball game in Spain's Liga ACB between Basket Zaragoza 2002 and CB Coruna, scheduled for October 10, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. If either team wins the game as originally scheduled, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the wisdom of the crowd – traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion diverges from professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by news, team performance, injuries, and any other information that might affect the perceived likelihood of either team winning the match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Basket Zaragoza vs CB Coruna match, as reported by official league sources. The winning team, as determined by the official score, will be the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Basket Zaragoza or CB Coruna would likely cause price adjustments. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even pre-game reports about player morale could also shift the odds. Major upsets in other games impacting team motivation or playoff positioning could also play a role. Essentially, any information that alters perceptions of each team's chances of winning will likely be reflected in trading activity on Kalshi.