TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in Turkey's Super Lig league. It focuses on determining whether either of the two competing teams wins the match or if the game ends in a tie within the regular time frame. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the outcome of the Basaksehir vs Gaziantep professional Super Lig soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Basaksehir wins, the 'Basaksehir' market resolves to Yes. If Gaziantep wins, the 'Gaziantep' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result within regular time, with no regard for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. These differences can arise from varying information sources or differing interpretations of the same data, and can sometimes indicate opportunities for value betting.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Basaksehir vs Gaziantep match, as determined by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could significant shifts in public opinion or betting patterns. Major announcements related to the teams or the league, such as suspensions or disciplinary actions, are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s prediction.