TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Barnsley and Cambridge, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is governed by standard soccer timing rules, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Barnsley versus Cambridge professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026. All markets resolve based solely on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome scenarios are defined: Barnsley winning by more than 2.5 goals, Barnsley winning by more than 1.5 goals, Cambridge winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Cambridge winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each scenario specifies a unique threshold for goal differential that must be met or exceeded for the corresponding market to resolve positively. The governing body’s official match rules apply, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any formal affiliation with the league or ownership of associated intellectual property.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and at a sportsbook, it might suggest an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own analysis of the Barnsley vs Cambridge match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread in the Barnsley vs Cambridge match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the aggregated intelligence of the crowd, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual goal difference between Barnsley and Cambridge at the end of the match. The result will be sourced from official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Barnsley or Cambridge would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also shift the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before the Barnsley vs Cambridge match concludes.