TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:07 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie C game, scheduled for October 31 at 12:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Serie C game, scheduled for October 31 at 12:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, influencing the payouts. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, prediction markets can dynamically adjust based on new information and changing sentiment, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event nears. It's common to see discrepancies between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, providing a forward-looking assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Barletta Calcio versus SS Monopoli match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. The platform will verify the result and distribute funds accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable process for all participants.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Match previews, expert analyses, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can also play a role. Furthermore, in-match events, such as early goals or red cards, could trigger rapid price adjustments as traders react to unfolding circumstances. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities before Oct 31, 2026.