TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:03 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Bari and Crotone. Participants can speculate on whether Bari will win, Crotone will win, or the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Bari vs Crotone professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Bari market occurs if Bari wins the match within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Crotone occurs if Crotone secures the victory. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The markets exclusively consider the result after normal time and do not account for extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes be more favorable depending on promotions or specific betting options. It’s always wise to compare both to make informed decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy 'yes' contracts and ask to sell 'no' contracts. The price of each contract represents the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bari vs Crotone match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual outcome. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could affect the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, can also move the market. Major upsets in other related matches, or even broader trends in the league standings, could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Oct 18, 2026.