TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Vitaliy Sachko and Samuele Pieri in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vitaliy Sachko' if Vitaliy Sachko advances against Samuele Pieri. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Vitaliy Sachko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Vitaliy Sachko and Samuele Pieri in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Vitaliy Sachko' if Vitaliy Sachko advances against Samuele Pieri. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Vitaliy Sachko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit from balanced action, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a larger and more diverse pool of participants. If significant differences exist, it may suggest that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Sachko-Pieri match. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Sachko-Pieri match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates the collective forecast of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Sachko-Pieri match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result. The market will close and payouts will be calculated following the official confirmation.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical adjustments could also lead to significant price movements. Publicly available analysis from sports experts and commentators could also sway the market, as traders incorporate new information into their predictions about the Sachko-Pieri match. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential shifts in the market.