TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 7:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Martin and Samuele Pieri in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Martin' if Juan Martin advances against Samuele Pieri. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Juan Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Martin and Samuele Pieri in the Bari, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Martin' if Juan Martin advances against Samuele Pieri. This market will resolve to 'Samuele Pieri' if Samuele Pieri advances against Juan Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like public bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may adjust their lines based on betting action, but this market allows for continuous price discovery driven by informed traders. While sportsbooks aim to set odds that attract balanced betting, Polymarket’s odds are purely determined by supply and demand, representing what traders believe is the true probability of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Juan Martin vs Samuele Pieri match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning share and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and objective.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders, often referred to as 'whales,' can quickly impact prices. Public opinion and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role, though the market is primarily driven by the collective judgment of traders on Polymarket.