TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Barendrecht and Waalwijk, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. It specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty kicks, emphasizing the immediate conclusion of regular match time. The resolution depends entirely on which team secures a victory within those defined time limits.
The event determines the winner of the Barendrecht vs Waalwijk professional KNVB soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If Barendrecht wins within this timeframe, the “Barendrecht” market resolves to Yes. If Waalwijk achieves a victory under the same conditions, the “Waalwijk” market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the “Tie” market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by actual money being wagered. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the two. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, though sportsbooks benefit from established risk management and regulatory oversight. It’s useful to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market operates much like a stock exchange, with prices determined by supply and demand. Traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements, creating a dynamic and informative pricing mechanism for this event.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the regulation time moneyline – which team wins the match at the end of the standard playing time. No extra time or penalty shootouts will be considered. The platform will verify the official result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Barendrecht or Waalwijk would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. News regarding the team’s tactical approach or any controversies surrounding the teams could also move the market. Even broader factors, like weather conditions on match day, could play a role in how traders assess the probabilities of each outcome.