TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:50 PM EST
Kalshi
Barendrecht and Waalwijk battle in a Dutch soccer knockout fixture where the sole determinant is which team moves forward. The structure guarantees a clear winner without any draw-based resolutions.
If Barendrecht advance past Waalwijk in the Barendrecht vs Waalwijk soccer tie in the 1St Round of the KNVB, then the market resolves to Yes. If Waalwijk advance past Barendrecht in the Barendrecht vs Waalwijk soccer tie in the 1St Round of the KNVB, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market represents what traders believe is the actual probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of participants contributing to the price discovery process. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Barendrecht vs Waalwijk match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate probabilities, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the event’s result. The more traders participate, the more efficiently the market incorporates new information and converges towards a true probability assessment.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Barendrecht vs Waalwijk match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and fulfill contract obligations to traders who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match outcome.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team form, player injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also impact the odds. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns, will also be incorporated into the price. Monitoring these factors can help understand potential movements in this market.