TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Tweede Divisie soccer match between Barendrecht and Amsterdamsche FC. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC professional Tweede Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and does not include extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on a variety of factors, including expert analysis and public betting patterns, and incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The most actively traded outcome currently reflects a significant portion of the overall volume.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Barendrecht vs Amsterdamsche FC match, as declared by the governing sporting body. All trading will cease once the outcome is known, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could also trigger movement. Furthermore, large trading volumes from individual participants or groups could create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market sentiment.