TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Barcelona vs. Valencia
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Barcelona vs Valencia?

Volume:
$90,488

FC Barcelona

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 3:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

FC Barcelona

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,301
N/A
N/A
$22,075
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Barcelona (-3.5)

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Barcelona vs. Valencia

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Valencia Basket

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,912
N/A
N/A
$14,135
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 176.5

View
0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This group covers the Liga Endesa basketball game between Barcelona and Valencia. Markets exist on the outright winner, the point spread, and the total points scored in the game. Resolution depends on the official final score published by acb.com.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi defines 'Yes' as either team winning, while Polymarket defines the winner specifically.Hero tip: Be mindful that Kalshi's market is not a traditional winner market; it resolves 'Yes' if either team wins. This impacts potential hedging strategies.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winning team (Barcelona or Valencia). "If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to "Barcelona". If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia".
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Barcelona or Valencia wins. "If FC Barcelona wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Valencia Basket wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming Liga Endesa game, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to "Barcelona". If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the men's professional Spain Liga ACB basketball game between Valencia Basket and FC Barcelona scheduled for October 11, 2026, at 1:00 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Barcelona vs. Valencia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $90,488, with $63,591 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of expectations, though prices can diverge as detailed below. The dashboard provides a single location to monitor how predictions evolve as new information becomes available, offering a broader perspective than looking at each platform in isolation. It’s a useful tool for understanding market sentiment surrounding this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s price reflects the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially revealing information not fully captured by sportsbooks. Furthermore, prediction markets often have lower transaction costs and allow for more nuanced trading strategies than traditional betting, influencing the observed price differences.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ for several reasons. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels, all of which can impact price discovery. Polymarket currently favors Spread: Barcelona (-3.5) at 99, while Kalshi leans toward Valencia Basket wins at n/a. These discrepancies can also arise from differing interpretations of available information or varying levels of risk aversion among traders on each platform. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more efficient pricing.