TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Barcelona and Granada. The event will determine the winner based on the result after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on whether Barcelona will win, Granada will win, or if the match will end in a tie.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Barcelona vs Granada professional Spanish Liga F soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Barcelona or Granada markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the unique dynamics of each venue. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Barcelona vs Granada match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Barcelona vs Granada match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more a particular outcome is believed to be likely, the higher its contract price will rise, and vice versa. This creates a real-time, crowd-sourced forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Barcelona vs Granada match as reported by official sources. The specific outcome that triggers settlement will depend on the contract purchased – for example, a contract predicting a Barcelona win will settle positively if Barcelona wins the match, and negatively otherwise. Traders will be able to see the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the match.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Barcelona or Granada would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Major news stories related to the teams or individual players, as well as public sentiment expressed through social media or expert analysis, could all contribute to volatility in this market as traders react to new information.