TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Barcelona vs Aston Villa
⌛Ending Soon
limitless
kalshi

What is the result of Barcelona vs Aston Villa?

Total volume:
$373,699
Volume 24h:
$146,851
278%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$303,666
66%

Barcelona

all

2 markets

Limitless

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:22h:38m

UCL, Barcelona vs Aston Villa: Barcelona

79%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
limitless

Trade on Limitless

At 79¢ buys you 127 shares | Odds: 79% Total Payout: $127 | Net Profit: $27 Multiplier: 1.27x | ROI: 27% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Barcelona

Trade
79%
Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢
1¢
N/A
$199
56%
N/A
N/A
1d 22h 38m
Active
kalshi

Barcelona

Trade
78%
1%
Yes 79¢No 22¢
1¢
N/A
$159,589
113%
808%
$129,191
1d 1h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
78%
Yes 78.8¢No 21.8¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
1¢
N/A
$18,697
21%
479%
$16,844
1d 1h 38m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 22h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
13%
Yes 13¢No 88¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Aston Villa

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$195,212
38%
250%
$157,631
1d 1h 38m
Active
limitless

Aston Villa

Trade
10%
Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢
1¢
N/A
$2
0%
N/A
N/A
1d 22h 38m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10%
Yes 9.8¢No 90.8¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Champions League soccer match between Barcelona and Aston Villa scheduled for November 3, 2026. Markets exist for Barcelona winning, Aston Villa winning, or the match ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on resolving the outcome based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, and post-resolution score changes.Primary resolution logic: Official match results from governing bodies or event organizers (e.g., UEFA)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Extra time and penalty shootouts are explicitly excluded from the resolution criteria.
  • If the match is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • Official results from governing bodies will be used for abandoned or canceled matches.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Abandonment: If the match is abandoned before 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves based on the official result declared by the governing body, if any. If no official result is declared and no make-up match is scheduled, the market will resolve to 'NO' on the win markets and 'YES' on the draw market.
  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until the rescheduled match is completed.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to the officially declared final score made *after* market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur immediately following the official completion of the match (90 minutes + stoppage time) and the declaration of the official result by the governing body.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Barcelona vs Aston Villa Champions League match scheduled for November 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for each respective market occurs if Barcelona wins, Aston Villa wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price. The markets exclusively consider the result in regular time, with no account for extended play or tie-breaking procedures.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 3, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Limitless, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Barcelona vs Aston Villa match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $373,080, with $132,520 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the match’s result, and the market price reflects the consensus view. Kalshi currently shows a strong inclination towards one outcome, while Limitless presents a slightly different perspective, creating an interesting dynamic for those following the market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Limitless, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders. This market reflects what participants believe will happen, creating a more direct probability assessment. Furthermore, prediction markets allow for trading up to the event's conclusion, meaning odds can shift based on new information, whereas sportsbook odds tend to be fixed once a bet is placed. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies in implied probabilities.

Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for this market on Kalshi and Limitless may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and platform-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different set of traders with potentially varying expertise and information. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. For example, if Kalshi has significantly higher volume, its price may be more responsive to new information. It’s also possible that differing risk appetites among traders on each platform contribute to price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Barcelona vs Aston Villa match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, as this will determine the payout for this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Nov 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either Barcelona or Aston Villa could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also impact the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by media coverage or social media trends, can cause traders to adjust their positions, leading to price movements in this market.