TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 6:02 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Barcelona and Alaves will see various thresholds for total goals scored. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, reflecting possible outcomes ranging from a low-scoring defensive battle to a high-scoring offensive showcase.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the professional La Liga soccer game between Barcelona and Alaves, scheduled for October 31, 2026. The resolution occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded. Each market specifies a different threshold for the total goals: over 0.5, over 1.5, over 2.5, over 3.5, over 4.5, and over 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. It’s common to see this market diverge from initial sportsbook lines as more information and opinions are factored in by participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts for the Barcelona vs Alaves match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The highest bid and lowest ask determine the current market price for each outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Barcelona vs Alaves match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which total goals outcome was achieved during the game, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the final score. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Barcelona or Alaves would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact predictions. Pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts and any unexpected lineup announcements could also shift the probabilities reflected in this market. As the match approaches, increased media coverage and public discussion will likely contribute to greater trading volume and price fluctuations.