TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of individual golfers in a specific tournament, resolving based on whether each specified player achieves a top-10 finish. Outcomes are determined solely by the final results of the competition, with adjustments for player participation status.
The market resolves to Yes for any listed golfer if they finish in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Bank of Utah Championship. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate, the market resolves to Fair Market Price if the event occurs before they tee off, and to No if it occurs after they have begun play. These rules apply uniformly to all participants listed, ensuring consistent evaluation of each golfer's performance relative to the top-10 threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's a significant disagreement, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular golfer’s chances. It’s common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available, such as weather forecasts or player injury reports, leading to adjustments in both prediction market and sportsbook odds.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the Bank of Utah Championship are verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which golfers officially finished within the top 10 of the tournament leaderboard. The resolution will be based on the final standings published by the official tournament organizers, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen golfers achieved a top-10 finish.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form, or withdrawals from the tournament would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions at the course are also a major influence, as they can affect scoring and player performance. Unexpected strong or weak performances during the early rounds of the tournament will also drive movement, as traders adjust their assessments of each golfer’s chances. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could also contribute to changes in the market.