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Bank of America 400 Winner
kalshi

Who will win the Bank of America 400?

Volume:
$2,901,005

Chase Briscoe

 - Kalshi

Chase Briscoe - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 7:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$239,374
N/A
N/A
$156,591
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$272,991
N/A
N/A
$194,757
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228,822
N/A
N/A
$187,254
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$200,425
N/A
N/A
$142,883
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$197,050
N/A
N/A
$155,980
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172,096
N/A
N/A
$130,683
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156,614
N/A
N/A
$139,229
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$148,707
N/A
N/A
$139,792
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$137,883
N/A
N/A
$121,024
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,517
N/A
N/A
$114,493
Settled
No
kalshi

Corey Heim

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$120,981
N/A
N/A
$112,566
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,055
N/A
N/A
$99,131
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,754
N/A
N/A
$95,933
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,384
N/A
N/A
$97,375
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,988
N/A
N/A
$92,779
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane van Gisbergen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$93,417
N/A
N/A
$92,509
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90,192
N/A
N/A
$85,191
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Suarez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,298
N/A
N/A
$82,202
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,179
N/A
N/A
$59,033
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,387
N/A
N/A
$49,587
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Dillon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,126
N/A
N/A
$39,126
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,879
N/A
N/A
$17,724
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,541
N/A
N/A
$10,541
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,282
N/A
N/A
$10,282
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Allmendinger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,791
N/A
N/A
$7,791
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Intro

This market tracks which driver will win the Bank of America 400 NASCAR Cup Series race. Currently, Kalshi gives Chase Briscoe a 99.0% probability of winning, while Christopher Bell is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the finishing order of the main race originally scheduled for October 11, 2026, as determined by the official results. Keep a close watch on the race itself on October 11, 2026, as the final result of the Bank of America 400 will determine the market’s outcome.

Kalshi

If Ross Chastain finishes in first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 at the 2026 Bank of America 400, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR Cup Series championship tracks the current odds for each driver to win, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $2,366,801, and the total volume traded to date, which is $2,901,005. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities as the race approaches. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the most value lies in predicting the winner.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and real-time adjustments from traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced a particular outcome. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of the probabilities involved and potentially identify advantageous betting opportunities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each driver winning the NASCAR Cup Series championship. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about that driver's chances. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential winner. The market operates similarly to a stock exchange, with prices fluctuating based on supply and demand.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the driver officially declared by NASCAR as the champion of the NASCAR Cup Series. The resolution will be based on the official results released by NASCAR, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final results and the settlement of their contracts once the official results are available.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Driver performance in qualifying and early races, unexpected mechanical failures, weather conditions during the race, and even major news regarding team changes or driver health could all cause shifts in the odds. Any significant event that alters the perceived probability of a driver winning will likely lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments in the NASCAR Cup Series is crucial for making informed trading decisions.