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Bank of America 400 Qualifying Session: Pole Position
kalshi

Who will get pole position?

Volume:
$35,131

Kyle Larson

 - Kalshi

Kyle Larson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 11:36 AM EST

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View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
22%
4%
Yes 22¢No 78¢
—
N/A
$21,338
N/A
N/A
$13,136
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
19%
2%
Yes 19¢No 81¢
—
N/A
$2,403
N/A
N/A
$1,405
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
13%
5%
Yes 13¢No 87¢
—
N/A
$1,343
N/A
N/A
$1,150
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
8%
10%
Yes 8¢No 92¢
—
N/A
$1,463
N/A
N/A
$849
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
7%
3%
Yes 7¢No 93¢
—
N/A
$630
N/A
N/A
$383
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

William Byron

View
7%
Yes 7¢No 93¢
—
N/A
$341
N/A
N/A
$314
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
4%
5%
Yes 4¢No 96¢
—
N/A
$984
N/A
N/A
$826
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
4%
4%
Yes 4¢No 96¢
—
N/A
$791
N/A
N/A
$713
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
4%
3%
Yes 4¢No 96¢
—
N/A
$482
N/A
N/A
$428
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
N/A
$1,019
N/A
N/A
$812
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
$69
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Corey Heim

View
2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
N/A
$496
N/A
N/A
$496
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Shane Van Gisbergen

View
1%
5%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$185
N/A
N/A
$185
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Ty Dillon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$592
Settled
No
kalshi

B.J. McLeod

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$592
N/A
N/A
$592
Settled
No
kalshi

Cole Custer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$592
N/A
N/A
$592
Settled
No
kalshi

Gray Gaulding

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$592
N/A
N/A
$592
Settled
No
kalshi

Cody Ware

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$592
N/A
N/A
$592
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
$278
Settled
No
kalshi

Ricky Stenhouse

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael McDowell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Dillon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 39

Description

The Bank of America 400 Qualifying Session determines the starting grid for a major NASCAR race. The pole position is awarded to the driver with the fastest qualifying lap, setting a crucial strategic advantage for the main event. Success in qualifying often influences race dynamics and outcomes.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified driver secures pole position during the qualifying session for the 2026 Bank of America 400, held as scheduled on October 10, 2026. Results are based on official NASCAR declarations after the session concludes. If multiple drivers tie for pole position and NASCAR does not apply a tiebreaker, 'Yes' payouts are divided equally among tied drivers (calculated as $1 divided by the number of tied competitors, rounded down), while 'No' positions receive the complementary payout. Should the qualifying session be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final official results. If the session is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with NASCAR or the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NASCAR pole position market tracks the current odds for each driver to win the pole position, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $7,630, and the total volume traded to date, which is $35,131. This provides a clear picture of market sentiment and activity surrounding who is favored to start first in the Bank of America 400 qualifying session.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate their own biases or react slower to new information. This market, however, allows traders to continuously update their predictions based on any available information, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when significant news or developments impact the perceived chances of a particular driver.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each driver securing the pole position. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a driver will win, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and insights from participants.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official results of the Bank of America 400 qualifying session are verifiable from credible public reporting. The driver who achieves the fastest lap time during the qualifying session will be declared the pole position winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of this market. All results will be based on the official NASCAR scoring and timing procedures.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding driver health, mechanical issues with a car, or changes to weather conditions impacting track conditions could all shift probabilities. Unexpected performance during practice sessions or qualifying heats could also cause traders to reassess their predictions. Furthermore, late-breaking announcements about team strategies or driver adjustments could lead to substantial movements in the odds for the NASCAR pole position.