TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether West Indies or Bangladesh will win their upcoming professional Test match cricket series. Currently, Kalshi gives West Indies a 91.0% probability of winning, while Bangladesh is at 9.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026, as determined by the match result; a draw or tie will also resolve the market to Yes. Keep an eye on the match schedule, as the resolution date estimate is November 2, 2026, representing the end of the betting period following the conclusion of the series.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Bangladesh vs West Indies men's professional Test series cricket match scheduled for October 28, 2026. If Bangladesh wins, the 'Bangladesh' market resolves to Yes; if West Indies wins, the 'West Indies' market resolves to Yes; and if the match ends in a draw or tie, the 'Draw/Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled before commencement or abandoned before the toss with no official result declared, all markets resolve to a fair market price. If the match is delayed by more than five days from its original start time before commencement, all markets also resolve to a fair market price. However, if the match is abandoned after the toss has occurred, all markets will resolve according to the official result recorded by the governing body of the relevant competition. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individuals trading with real capital, can sometimes offer more accurate predictions, especially as more information becomes available and the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It’s useful to compare both to get a broader perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Bangladesh vs West Indies match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective belief of the market participants. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if a specific outcome happens, effectively forecasting the likelihood of each result.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bangladesh vs West Indies match as declared by the governing sporting body. The specific details of the match result will be verified against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted outcome matches the official result of the match.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all move the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market and cause prices to adjust. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to Nov 2, 2026.