TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:26 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Bandirma and Sivasspor. Bettors can speculate on whether Bandirma will win, Sivasspor will win, or the game will end in a tie based on the full-time result after regular play.
The market resolves based on the full-time result of the Bandirma vs Sivasspor professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match originally scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Bandirma wins, the 'Bandirma' market resolves to Yes. If Sivasspor wins, the 'Sivasspor' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s odds are determined by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember both represent probabilities of the same underlying event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Bandirma vs Sivasspor match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bandirma vs Sivasspor match as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out accordingly, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Bandirma or Sivasspor could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also shift sentiment. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting patterns, will also be reflected in the prices on Kalshi. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.