TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether predetermined thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Sacks are counted only during standard play; those occurring during two-point conversion attempts are excluded. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, betting remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game fail to commence within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Baltimore or Cleveland, resolving to 'Yes' if the respective team achieves that threshold, and 'No' otherwise. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, the prediction market may adjust based on more nuanced factors or information not yet fully priced into traditional odds. It’s valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust predictions in real-time, offering a unique view compared to static odds.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded in the Baltimore versus Cleveland game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the total number of sacks will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor the game and official statistics as the event unfolds to understand how the outcome will be determined.
Several factors could influence the NFL sacks market between now and resolution. Injury reports for key offensive linemen or pass rushers on either team would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or wind, could impact passing offenses and, consequently, sack opportunities. Unexpected coaching decisions regarding offensive or defensive strategies could also shift the market. Finally, any news regarding player matchups or specific game plans could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and price movements within this market.