TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many field goals each team successfully kicks. The outcome depends on whether the teams reach certain thresholds of field goals made during the match.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around the number of field goals made by Baltimore and Cleveland in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) that either team must achieve for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent but interconnected through these shared conditions, ensuring consistent handling of scheduling disruptions while focusing on precise performance metrics for each team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives. It's common to see the odds on Kalshi move closer to the final outcome as more information becomes available and more traders participate, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting outlets. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the number of field goals scored by each team in the Baltimore versus Cleveland game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the results are officially published.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key kickers or holders for either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if strong winds or inclement weather are predicted, could also impact the likelihood of successful field goal attempts. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions related to field goal attempts could shift the market. Public sentiment and expert analysis leading up to the game could also play a role in influencing trading activity on Kalshi.