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Baltimore vs Cleveland: Rushing Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Baltimore vs Cleveland?

Volume:
$5,226

Derrick Henry

 - Kalshi

Derrick Henry - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 4:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Derrick Henry

View
2%
12%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢
—
N/A
$3,888
N/A
N/A
$2,941
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Deshaun Watson

View
0%
3%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$1,338
N/A
N/A
$1,338
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 2

Description

This market assesses the potential performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Baltimore and Cleveland. Participants can bet on whether the designated player will achieve certain rushing yard milestones, with payouts scaling based on the exact number of yards gained. The structure rewards higher performance with progressively larger returns.

Kalshi

Contracts in this event resolve based on the official rushing yards accumulated by either Deshaun Watson or Derrick Henry in the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each player, Yes contracts pay according to a tiered schedule where every 10-yard increment above zero increases the payout up to a maximum of $1.00. The payout formula uses a cubic scaling model relative to a capped yardage value, ensuring higher yardage results in disproportionately higher returns. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, effectively serving as the inverse outcome. Negative rushing yard totals result in zero payout for Yes contracts. The structure creates a dynamic incentive for predicting both the occurrence and magnitude of rushing success for each specified player.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Browns vs Ravens rushing yards market displays the current price, a historical price chart, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $4,219 and the total volume traded to date is $5,205. This allows traders to see how sentiment around the total rushing yards in this game is evolving and how much activity there has been. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders stand on the likely outcome of this contest, specifically regarding the running game.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing yards. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various rushing yard totals.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total rushing yards for both the Browns and Ravens are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are released. The outcome will be based on the official game statistics, not any preliminary or unofficial reports.