TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often a specific player, Derrick Henry, carries the ball during a football game between Baltimore and Cleveland. The outcome depends on whether he reaches certain thresholds of rushing attempts. The rules ensure clarity around player participation and how the market settles if the player doesn't enter the game.
The event evaluates whether Derrick Henry achieves specified thresholds of rushing attempts (18+, 21+, or 24+) in the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If Henry is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Henry takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total rushing attempts he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome thresholds, ensuring consistent evaluation of Henry's performance under varying participation scenarios.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It’s not uncommon to see this market move in response to news or late-breaking information that hasn’t fully been incorporated into sportsbook lines, or vice versa. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official rushing attempts total from the Baltimore versus Cleveland game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will reflect the total combined rushing attempts by both teams during the game, and the contract corresponding to the correct range will be settled at 100. Traders will be able to view the final result on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to game day. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes to the teams' offensive strategies. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for running, could also shift trader sentiment. Late-week reports on defensive matchups and coaching adjustments could also play a role. Unexpected news about the health of quarterbacks could indirectly affect rushing attempts if teams shift to a more run-heavy approach. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders.