TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks receiving yard performance for multiple players in a specific football game between Baltimore and Cleveland. Payouts scale with each player's yardage achieved, using a cubic formula to reward higher performance more significantly.
Contracts pay based on the receiving yards accumulated by designated players in the Baltimore vs Cleveland game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each Yes contract's payout is determined by a cubic scaling formula applied to the player's official receiving yards, capped at 200 yards. The payout schedule increases progressively, awarding $0.0000 for 0–9 yards up to $1.0000 for 200 or more yards. A specific calculation transforms raw yardage into a payout value by first rounding down to the nearest 10 yards, applying a cubic function relative to the 200-yard maximum, and then scaling to a dollar value. Each No contract pays the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract pair. Negative yardage results in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All payouts are subject to a maximum Yes payout of $1.00.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously update their assessments based on new information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player performance, injury reports, or even weather conditions. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently than sportsbooks, especially as the event draws closer and more information becomes available. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into public perception versus professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price based on their expectations. Traders purchase 'yes' contracts, betting that the total receiving yards will exceed a certain threshold, or 'no' contracts, betting it will fall short. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective assessment of the likely receiving yardage total for this Browns vs Ravens game.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for both the Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns are verifiable from credible public reporting following the game’s completion. The final result will be based on the official statistics recorded by the NFL and reported by major sports news outlets. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout according to the market price at resolution, while losing contracts will expire without value. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries to wide receivers or tight ends on either the Browns or the Ravens would significantly impact expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also drive movement. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking reports on player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to the latest information.