TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how many passing yards Denzel Boston gains during a specific football game between Baltimore and Cleveland. Each outcome represents a different threshold of receiving yards that Boston must surpass for that market to settle as 'Yes'.
All markets resolve based on whether Denzel Boston records a specified minimum number of receiving yards in the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If Boston is active for the game but never takes a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price before the game starts. Once Boston takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—each market settles based strictly on the total receiving yards he records during the game. All markets are independent thresholds, with higher thresholds representing more difficult achievements. The governing league’s official statistics will determine the resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player performance, potential injuries, or even weather conditions. It’s common to see this market adjust more quickly to new information than sportsbook lines, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a specific yardage range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage total for the players involved will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to view the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or quarterbacks would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions, could also impact expected passing yardage. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports about player matchups could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategies or offensive play-calling tendencies could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and price fluctuations.