TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific quarterback in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether he achieves various passing yard thresholds. The outcome depends entirely on the player's actual in-game statistics.
All markets resolve based on whether Deshaun Watson records a specified minimum number of passing yards in the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If Watson is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle at their fair market price as determined before the game starts. However, once Watson takes at least one snap—even if that play is later nullified by a penalty—the markets resolve strictly according to the actual passing yards he records during the game. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from 125 passing yards to 325+ passing yards, with the market resolving to 'Yes' if Watson meets or exceeds that threshold, and 'No' otherwise. The operator explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all league-related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prices in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a different perspective on the game’s likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage totals from the Baltimore versus Cleveland game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing yards for the designated quarterback will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the actual passing yards exceed the highest contract value, and to 0 if they fall below the lowest contract value. All other outcomes will settle proportionally based on the final yardage total.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players, particularly the quarterbacks, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions expected to impact the passing game, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also shift prices. Late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive adjustments could also play a role. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting activity, will also influence the market.