TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:20 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on evaluating Deshaun Watson's performance in a specific NFL game between Baltimore and Cleveland. They measure how many passing touchdowns he throws during the match, with different thresholds determining the outcome. The resolution hinges solely on the number of successful passes he delivers for touchdowns, regardless of other game dynamics.
The official rules for these markets collectively govern the resolution based on the number of passing touchdowns Deshaun Watson records in the specified NFL game. Each market has a distinct threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ passing touchdowns) that must be met or exceeded for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. A key secondary rule applies uniformly across all markets: if Watson is active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Watson takes at least one snap—regardless of whether any play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual number of passing touchdowns he records during the game. These provisions ensure clarity in scenarios where a player's participation is limited or disrupted, while maintaining focus on the core metric of passing touchdowns for final settlement.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, giving traders insight into the liquidity and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics for passing touchdowns scored by each team during the Baltimore Ravens versus Cleveland Browns game. The final count of passing touchdowns will be used to determine which outcome, if any, wins the market. No further information about the specific resolution process is available at this time beyond the publicly available game statistics.