TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of Deshaun Watson in a specific football game between Baltimore and Cleveland. The outcome depends on how many passing interceptions he throws during the match. Higher thresholds of interceptions have separate markets, allowing for varied predictions on his accuracy and decision-making under pressure.
The markets resolve based on the number of passing interceptions Deshaun Watson records in the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If Watson is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Watson takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of passing interceptions he records during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+ interceptions), and if Watson meets or exceeds that threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and public betting patterns, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply varying opinions on the likely outcome. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final statistics from the Baltimore vs. Cleveland game will be used to determine if Deshaun Watson threw one or more passing interceptions. The resolution will be based on official game logs and statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their prediction aligned with the final game outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding Deshaun Watson’s health, such as an injury update, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly if conditions are expected to be rainy or windy, could also impact the likelihood of interceptions. Furthermore, any strategic adjustments announced by either team's coaching staff, or even late-breaking news about key defensive players, could shift trader sentiment and move the market.