TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specific athletes or units achieve predetermined fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes hinge on detailed statistical contributions across various in-game activities, measured by a standardized scoring system. Each market is independent, assessing different participants' potential impact within the same contest.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or defensive units during the full duration of the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, including any overtime periods. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive/special teams contributions as detailed in the scoring format. For players and defensive units, points are derived from yards gained, touchdowns scored, receptions, interceptions, sacks, field goals, and other specified stats. If a participant does not play or is not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper, they are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point total is determined by the value published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration, with no rounding applied and no corrections accepted after expiration. Markets resolve to "Yes" if the stated player or unit exceeds their respective fantasy point threshold; otherwise, they resolve to "No". The governing entity is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information emerges – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs, with this market potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome than traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different fantasy point totals. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a specific total, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined by supply and demand; if more people believe the total will be high, they'll bid up the prices of contracts reflecting higher point totals. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point total, as calculated by a major fantasy sports provider, will determine the settlement of this market. The total points scored by all relevant players in the Browns vs Ravens game will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total fantasy points will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key players on both the Browns and Ravens are major catalysts, as the absence of star players would drastically alter expected fantasy point totals. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence scoring. Major news regarding coaching strategies or changes in player roles could also move the market. Finally, general shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, can influence trading activity and therefore the price of contracts in this market.