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Baltimore vs Cleveland: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Baltimore vs Cleveland?

Volume:
$12,230

Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 4:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,621
N/A
N/A
$1,552
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 7.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,505
N/A
N/A
$1,192
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,032
N/A
N/A
$982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$749
N/A
N/A
$746
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,065
N/A
N/A
$859
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,002
N/A
N/A
$901
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$904
N/A
N/A
$904
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$898
N/A
N/A
$826
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$862
N/A
N/A
$706
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$752
N/A
N/A
$752
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$707
N/A
N/A
$707
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$681
N/A
N/A
$671
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$451
N/A
N/A
$451
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

These markets focus on the margin of victory for either Baltimore or Cleveland specifically within the final quarter of their scheduled game. Outcomes are determined solely by points scored during that period, ignoring any earlier or overtime scoring.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored in the 4th quarter of the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as 'Yes'. For Baltimore markets, resolution requires Baltimore to win the quarter by more than the stated margin (ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points). For Cleveland markets, resolution requires Cleveland to win the quarter by more than the stated margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). If neither team meets their respective threshold, all markets resolve as 'No'. The outcome depends entirely on in-quarter performance, regardless of the game's overall result or any scoring occurring outside the final quarter.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL spread market tracks the current odds reflecting the probability of various point spreads in the fourth quarter of the Baltimore versus Cleveland game. You can view the price history to see how expectations have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $8,921. The total volume traded on this market is $12,230. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on changes in price and activity.

Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbook odds are set by professionals, this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the game’s outcome. It's common to see differences emerge, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, both aim to accurately predict the final result, and discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the fourth quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the game approaches.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fourth quarter spread of the Baltimore versus Cleveland game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL, and will determine which contracts pay out to winning traders. The market will close prior to the end of the game to allow for accurate settlement based on the official score.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Finally, even public perception and betting trends in traditional sportsbooks can sometimes create momentum in this market.