TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
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$228,458,490
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:25 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Baltimore vs Cleveland contest, the question is if both teams will score points in the third quarter. Touchdowns, field goals, and safeties all qualify, with the market resolving purely based on third-quarter performance.
If Baltimore and Cleveland both score points in the 3rd quarter of the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that the implied probability of both teams scoring in the third quarter, as represented by this market, differs from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and analytical approaches. Discrepancies can arise from differing opinions on team form, injuries, and strategic adjustments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a 'yes' outcome – that both teams will score in the third quarter. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving beliefs of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe both teams will score, the price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of this event occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on official game statistics confirming whether both the Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns each scored at least one point during the third quarter of the game. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning contracts and distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or the Ravens would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting offensive play, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, in-game developments during the first half, such as dominant offensive performances or unexpected defensive struggles, could lead to adjustments in the perceived probability of both teams scoring in the third quarter, ultimately impacting this market.