TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Baltimore and Cleveland teams during the second half of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the bet to succeed.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by Baltimore and Cleveland in the second half (including any overtime periods) of their game scheduled for October 18, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. Each threshold represents a separate market, with the outcome determined solely by the total points accumulated in the second half. All markets share the same secondary rule: only points scored during the second half, including overtime, count toward the resolution. The markets are independent, and each has a unique 'Yes' condition based on its respective point threshold. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the market perceives an edge, or where public opinion diverges from professional analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can set their own bid and ask prices, and the market continuously adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The closer we get to Oct 18, 2026, the more the price will likely converge towards the true outcome, as uncertainty decreases.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the second half of the Baltimore Ravens versus Cleveland Browns game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the data is confirmed.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or Ravens would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or social media trends, might also play a role. Finally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could influence traders' expectations and move the price.