TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various thresholds for the total points scored by both Baltimore and Cleveland in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of higher or lower scoring bursts within the opening quarter.
All markets resolve based solely on the combined points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the total points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise it resolves to No. The thresholds range progressively from 3.5 points to 24.5 points, offering varying levels of difficulty for achieving the 'Yes' outcome. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and the markets are independent of each other, each evaluating its own distinct threshold. The governing league's official scoring and game timing definitions apply, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. Polls and analysts’ predictions also provide another point of comparison, but prediction markets uniquely allow participants to put capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Browns vs Ravens 1st quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential score total in the first quarter.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the first quarter of the Baltimore Ravens versus Cleveland Browns game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine whether contracts predicting 'over' or 'under' the market’s threshold pay out. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the first quarter.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or the Ravens would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the scoring environment, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team formations might also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the likely scoring output in the first quarter could lead to price fluctuations in this market.