TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team needs to score for the market to settle positively.
The markets resolve based on whether either Baltimore or Cleveland exceeds specified point thresholds in the first half of their game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different scoring benchmark for either team; if the team's first-half points surpass the threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes. The governing body's official rules apply to the game, and Kalshi disclaims any formal affiliation with the league, with all trademarks remaining the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. As more people participate, the price tends to become a more accurate reflection of the true probability of the event occurring. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the game's likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and taking the opposite side of what they believe the market has mispriced. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the Browns versus Ravens first-half team totals.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both the Browns and the Ravens in the first half will be used to determine the winning contracts. This resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct first-half team total will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Browns or the Ravens would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the passing or running game, could also play a role. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also impact how traders assess the likelihood of different first-half team total outcomes.