TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the interplay between the first half and full game outcomes in a specific football match. They require matching specific conditions for both halves to determine the result, providing insight into how bettors anticipate the game's progression and final outcome.
Each market resolves based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the specified Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the first half and full game results must match the specified conditions outlined in the primary rule. If either the first half or full game result does not align with the required outcome, the market resolves to 'No.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each requiring precise alignment of both half-time and full-time results to settle positively.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and participant motivations. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome than what’s available at conventional sportsbooks. These differences can create opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, these prices fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the game’s potential results. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence traders have in each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game outcome, including both the first-half and full-time results as determined by official league sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in weather conditions, and unexpected news regarding team strategies are all potential catalysts. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected by polls or expert analysis, could also impact trading activity. Any late-breaking information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning, or the expected score differential, is likely to cause movement in the market prices. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions.