TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional football game between Baltimore and Buffalo, focusing on the margin of victory. It categorizes possible results based on how many points separate the winning team from the loser. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
The event resolves based on the point differential between Buffalo and Baltimore in their Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, including overtime. If Buffalo wins by exactly 0 points (a tie), 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Baltimore wins by 1 to 6 points, 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points, the respective market resolves to Yes. Each market is evaluated independently based on the final score, with all outcomes determined solely by the point differential regardless of other factors. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes influence early trading activity in this market. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, but are formed through different mechanisms and can diverge based on information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final winning margin of the Baltimore versus Buffalo game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning margin will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contract corresponding to the correct margin range will pay out $1.00. All other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, such as the quarterback or star running back, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could move the market. Unexpected news about team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role in how this market evolves.