TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on the exact scoring performance of Baltimore and Buffalo. The outcomes depend solely on the final point totals recorded during the match.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either Baltimore or Buffalo in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026. For any market specifying a team and a point threshold, if the named team scores strictly more than the stated number of points during the game, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All thresholds are evaluated independently, meaning each market has its own distinct resolution criterion. The governing league's official scoring and recording methods determine the final point totals. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all league trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market price will move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a lot of money has been traded on Kalshi. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed speculation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final team total. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined solely by supply and demand on the exchange; there are no external factors influencing the pricing mechanism. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Baltimore and Buffalo will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the actual combined point total achieved during the game, as reported by official sources. Traders who correctly predicted the team total will receive a payout based on the price they paid for their contracts, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Baltimore or Buffalo teams would likely cause a shift in the price. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or significant team adjustments could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal new information entering the market and influence the price.