What is the result of Baltimore vs Buffalo?

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a safety occurring, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people believe a safety *will* happen, the price of the 'yes' contract increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on the exchange, offering a real-time estimate of the likelihood of this event. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of buying and selling interest.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, following the completion of the Baltimore versus Buffalo game. The outcome will be determined by whether a safety is officially recorded in the game statistics by the NFL. Verification will be against credible public reporting from official sources, such as the NFL’s website or major sports news outlets. The final score and game details will be used to confirm if a safety occurred, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key defensive players on either team could significantly shift expectations, as a weakened defense might be more prone to allowing a safety. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game and increase the likelihood of a safety due to fumbles or errant snaps. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments could also play a role, as could any late-breaking news about player availability or team dynamics.