What is the result of Baltimore vs Buffalo?

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. Early in the market, you might find discrepancies, with sportsbooks potentially incorporating biases or reacting quickly to news. As the event approaches, the prices in this market tend to converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and traders refine their forecasts. However, this market can sometimes offer more accurate predictions, particularly when a large and informed trading volume develops.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by factors like player news, injury reports, and overall market sentiment regarding the game. The most actively traded contracts indicate where the majority of traders believe the rushing yardage will land.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the game between Baltimore and Buffalo are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual rushing yardage achieved during the game. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the rushing yardage range will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution.