TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing performance thresholds for specific players in an upcoming football game. It examines whether designated athletes achieve various yardage milestones during the match, offering multiple benchmarks for evaluation.
All markets resolve based on the official rushing yard statistics recorded by the specified player in the designated game. If the player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the prevailing fair market price before kickoff. Once the player participates in at least one snap - regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty - the outcome is determined solely by the actual rushing yards accumulated during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each specified player.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, potentially leading to advantageous opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The current price of a contract indicates the probability that the actual total rushing yards will fall within the range represented by that contract. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by supply and demand – if more traders believe the total will be higher, they’ll bid up the price of contracts reflecting higher yardage, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total rushing yards for the Baltimore versus Buffalo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official statistics released by the NFL, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual total rushing yards fall within the range predicted by the purchased contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would any changes to the weather forecast, potentially impacting the game plan and rushing attempts. News regarding coaching strategies or defensive matchups could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or analysis from football experts could sway trader sentiment and lead to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.